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AMZN Amazon

Hyperscalers

Position Summary

Shares

8

Avg Price

$201.73

Cost Basis

$1,614

Conviction

7/10

Investment Thesis

AWS at 30% cloud market share, $124B run rate. Operating margins 2.4% → 11.2%.

Key Arguments

Bull Case

AWS is the cloud backbone. AI workloads drive compute demand. Retail subsidises cloud investment.

Bear Case

Retail margins thin. AWS growth decelerating from peak.

What Would Make Us Sell

AWS market share drops below 25% or margin compression.

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